Fusion Markets

Welcome to our Blog

Every so often, we post articles we think you might find useful and will help you grow as a trader.

All Categories
Trading and Brokerage
Market Analysis
General
Beginners
Social
Market Hours
All Categories
All Categories
Trading and Brokerage
Market Analysis
General
Beginners
Social
Market Hours
Loading...
No results
Trading and Brokerage
post image main
Revolutionising Forex Trading: How ChatGPT is Changing the Game


Getting an edge in Forex trading is the golden goose every trader pines for. While there have been many technological advances that have given traders an edge over the decades, FX traders are now looking toward what is fast becoming the biggest revolution in Forex: AI, and in particular ChatGPT. A seemingly magical AI that can produce articulate and human responses to almost any inquiry.  


It looks like ChatGPT is taking over the world, one chat at a time, and it can do anything you can only imagine (besides ordering pizza, but let’s not get too greedy). So, let's dive in and see how ChatGPT and AI are revolutionising forex trading, and how you can use this amazing tool to give you an edge in the markets. 

 


Unlocking the Benefits of Using ChatGPT 


So how can the chatbot improve your trading? Let’s take a closer look at what this Forex AI is capable of: 



  • Analysing Assets 


Now, I know what you are thinking. "How on earth can a language modelled AI help me analyse my assets?" Well, ChatGPT is no ordinary language model. It has been trained on massive amounts of data, including market trends, economic data, and news events. This means that it can analyse all the factors that affect the value of your assets and provide you with insights that can help you make better-informed decisions but be careful it only uses data up until 2021.  


  

The simple example above demonstrates what kind of information the chatbot can provide on the GBP/USD currency pair. Not bad, right? Well, why do not we try and get a little more advanced. 


 

 

 

How about even more granular? 


 

 

Now we are rolling. These are all simple 2-minute entries, but you can get as deep and detailed as you want - you are only bound by your own imagination!  
 

If you would like to learn more the GBP/USD, do not forget to check out Fusion Market’s article with a detailed overview of this asset. 

 


  • Creating Scripts 


ChatGPT has the potential to assist in the development of scripts that can be utilised by automated robots for trading purposes.  


While using the chatbot to generate an automated trading strategy, you have the liberty to employ more than one indicator.  


Graphical user interface, text, applicationDescription automatically generated

 

 

The script above retrieves historical data for AUD/USD from Yahoo Finance, calculates two moving averages (SMA10 and SMA50), generates trading signals based on the crossover of these moving averages, defines trading positions based on these signals, executes trades based on a simple position sizing strategy, and plots the trading signals and positions on a chart.  


Furthermore, although Python was used in this context, you have the option to ask for scripts in alternative programming languages like MQL4 and MQL5 for the MetaTrader platforms, or Pinescript for TradingView. 


But do not get carried away by the power of technology! Please note that this script is for educational purposes only and should not be used for actual trading without proper testing and risk management. 

 


  • Providing definitions and Explanations of Forex Trading Concepts 


Forex trading has a unique vocabulary that can be confusing for beginners. Chat GPT can provide definitions and explanations of forex trading terms and concepts, helping traders understand key concepts like pips, spreads, leverage, etc. 


However, one of the drawbacks of relying on the chatbot to clarify investing concepts is the difficulty in verifying the accuracy of its outputs. Since there are no credible sources listed or citations provided, users are left with no option but to rely on the correctness of ChatGPT's responses. That is why we highly encourage you to always verify the information through multiple sources. 

 


  • Sharing Forex Trading Tips and Strategies 


Chat GPT can provide forex trading tips and strategies that traders can use to improve their trading skills. These tips can cover topics such as risk management, technical analysis, and fundamental analysis. Traders can ask questions about specific trading strategies, and it can provide detailed answers based on its vast knowledge base. 


The example below illustrates how the chatbot broke down the fundamentals of a swing trading strategy and outlined the initial steps: 


Text, letterDescription automatically generated

 

 

  • Offering Personalised Recommendations 


Chat GPT can provide personalised recommendations for traders based on their individual trading style and preferences. Traders can ask the chatbot questions about specific trading scenarios, and it can provide recommendations on forex trading strategies, risk management techniques, and other factors that can impact their trading success. 


And the best part? ChatGPT can work 24/7, providing traders with up-to-date insights and analysis at any time of the day or night. 

 

Now, I know what you are thinking. "This all sounds too good to be true. What is the catch?" Well, my friends, there is one catch. ChatGPT is not infallible. While it can analyse vast amounts of data and provide insights, it is not immune to the unpredictability of the market. Traders still need to exercise caution and make their own judgments based on ChatGPT's analysis. So, lets take a look of what are the drawbacks of using this AI for trading. 

 


The Pitfalls of Trading with ChatGPT: 



  • Limited Understanding of Market Conditions 


While ChatGPT is highly proficient in language processing, it lacks the capacity to understand the nuances of market conditions. The market is highly complex, and there are numerous variables that can impact it. ChatGPT may analyse historical data and provide trading signals based on that analysis, but it may not be able to take into account current events that are influencing the market. This can result in incorrect trading signals and ultimately lead to financial losses. 


Text, letterDescription automatically generated

 

 

  • Lack of Emotional Intelligence 


One of the advantages of trading with a machine is that it is not influenced by emotions. On the other hand, this lack of emotional intelligence prevents chatbots from the ability to assess the impact of human emotions on the market. For example, certain events can create panic and traders may make irrational decisions that can lead to a downward spiral in prices. AI may not be able to account for these emotional factors and provide incorrect trading signals.  

 

  • Dependence on Data 


ChatGPT is highly dependent on data. It relies on large datasets to analyse market conditions and provide trading signals. However, the data it uses may not always be accurate. The tool is only trained on data up to 2021, which means that there is a significant knowledge gap. Inaccurate or outdated data can lead to incorrect analysis and ultimately lead to financial losses. 

 

  • Lack of Flexibility 


ChatGPT operates based on pre-programmed algorithms. While these algorithms may be highly sophisticated, they lack flexibility. They are designed to analyse data and provide trading signals based on specific parameters. However, the market is constantly evolving, and these parameters may not always be relevant. Traders need to be able to adapt quickly to changing market conditions. ChatGPT may not always be able to provide the flexibility needed to make quick decisions. 


Traders need to understand the limitations of AI and supplement its analysis with their own research.  

 


Tips to Unleash the Power of AI: 



Here are some tips to help ensure you get the most out of your ChatGPT to improve your trading experience: 


1. Understand Your Risk Profile: Trading involves significant risk that should be taken into account. Chatbots can be an incredibly powerful tool in helping traders identify potential opportunities in the market, but they do not have a capability of predicting human reactions to certain events and the volatility of the market. Make sure you understand your risk tolerance before relying on AI for trading decisions. 


2. Follow the Trends: While Chat GPT can analyse vast amounts of data quickly, it is important to note that it may not always be accurate. Pay close attention to the trends and always double-check any decisions with additional research. 


3. Trade Strategically: Along with following trends, it is important to develop a trading strategy before relying on any chatbot for your trading decisions. Determine which timeframe you want to focus on and create an entry and exit plan that makes sense in your particular situation. You can also practice trading to develop your own style with Fusion Market’s Demo account. 


4. Keep Learning: As with any trading strategy, it is important to continue learning and staying up to date on market trends and news that may affect your trades. Chat GPT can provide great insights into potential movements but only those who stay abreast of relevant news will be able to make the most out of their investments.  

 

Conclusion  


Utilising software to assist traders is not a new practice, as algorithms have been around since the 1970s. However, Chat GPT offers a unique perspective. Its capacity to provide easy-to-understand, conversational responses to complicated questions implies that it may be advantageous for online traders in some instances. 


However, there are downsides to using Chat GPT for trading. The tool was not built to handle tasks requiring specialised knowledge or language capabilities that are often necessary for online trading. Additionally, the accuracy and reliability of its answers and information are largely untested, and concerns about bias, copyright, and the limited scope of training data still exist. 


These arguments have led to reservations about using Chat GPT in real-world trading environments. As a result, there is currently insufficient evidence to support the use of Chat GPT for online trading. 


Instead, traders should consider utilising brokers with machine learning and AI-enabled tools designed explicitly for online trading.  


At Fusion Market’s we understand how important it is to have the right tools to succeed in the world of Forex, so check out our TOP essentials tools for traders.  


Test out the full range of Chat GPT’s capabilities for Forex trading risk-free with Fusion Markets Demo Account today! 


20/04/2023
Trading and Brokerage
post image main
New Deposit Method with Interbank FX Rates

Interbank FX conversion rates are now at your fingertips. Our latest bank deposit method allows our clients to deposit 30+ different currencies and receive some of the best FX rates on the market. This means you’ll pay less when depositing your local currency into your trading base currency, putting the savings back into your trading bankroll.


See below to see the full list of the 30+ currencies accepted for this funding method.


How does it work?


To receive interbank FX conversion rates, login to your Client Hub and click “Bank Transfer” on the right of the screen.



bank deposit methods fusion markets


Select your trading account you’d like to deposit into (e.g. USD, GBP, AUD), and deposit into the bank address listed.


When we receive your fund they’ll then be converted to your base currency account at industry-leading FX conversion rates.  


Which Currencies Can I Deposit With?


Interbank FX rate Currency List



Can I still use old bank wire transfers?


Yes! Click on the icon on the left in your payments sections to see access to our older bank transfer methods. You still may want to use this method if your country has local bank funding options.


How long will it take until my deposit is processed?


Depending on your bank and region, your deposit can from 1-5 business days to process. You’ll receive an email from us once your funds are ready to trade.

 

Can I use this method to transfer funds from one base currency trading account to the other?


This functionality will be coming soon!

 

Can I also withdraw using this method?


This is something we’re looking to integrate in the future, at the moment, we’ll only be accepting deposits using this method.

 

I have more questions


If you’d like to know more, please contact our help team - they’re available 24/7.






18/01/2023
Trading and Brokerage
post image main
Top Forex Events In The New Millennium

Foreign exchange (FOREX) goes through ups and downs. Some events had stripped bare the possible volatility of the market, causing fear in the hearts of investors. Here are some top events since the year 2000 that caused chaos in the markets.


2013 Forex Probe


The Forex Probe of 2013 was a scandal that revealed how international banks had been working together for at least a decade to tweak Forex market exchange rates.  

 

Again, this event was all about investor fears of market manipulation as a result of bank collusion.  It wasnt easy to trust the market again after such practices were revealed. 

 

Four major banks admitted involvement, but the 2013 Forex Probe remains one of the most impactful foreign exchange events since 2000, even though the banks paid up $6 billion in fines.  

 

Greek Debt Crisis


In 2013, the Greek economy revealed its fragility, although it already showed some cracks during the 2007 worldwide financial crisis.  


It looked like Greece was going into an irreparable downfall. Still, the European Union overextended itself by granting it a generous loan of £68 billion. While the EU might have saved Greece, this move would remain one of the top events in Forex history for such a large amount of money changing hands.  

 

The consequences of the crisis could still be felt as Greece’s debt problems reverberated in 2015. Because Greece couldn’t reach its deal, some currencies surged, such as the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc found which found themselves on the rise.  

 

However, other currencies didn’t fare so well in 2015. The Euro plunged in the Asian trading session. The dollar also experienced a one-month low of 122.10 yen.  

 

Political uncertainty in one country can affect many other countries, and sometimes the impact lasts for years. That is why the Greek Debt Crisis of 2013 makes it to our list of the most significant Forex events in the new millennium.  

 

2016 Sterling Flash Crash

 

Since we have already looked at what a flash crash is about, we can go straight to how the Sterling Pound lost its value within seconds on the 7th of October 2016.  

 

A fat finger error was suspected, but the Bank for International Settlements ruled that there was no proof it was the case. Further investigations revealed that algorithmic trading programs had triggered the crash. The algorithm issue was paired with traders who didn’t want to take much risk.  

 

GBP/USD - Sep-Nov 2016 - Forex chart

 

British Pound/U.S. Dollar – Sep-Nov 2016

 

 

2016 BREXIT

 

Brexit 2016 caused panic in the European Union, especially when its economic effects were felt. Of course, it also had an impact on the foreign exchange market. 

 

The story of Britain’s breakup with the European Union was one of the top events in politics and Forex history. It went to show just how intricately related these aspects were.  

 

The UK’s unexpected move was what created the panic. Understandably, something so unprecedented had to affect the market. Right before the votes were out, the British pound sterling was moving in an upswing trend. However, it ended in a closing of 8% down for the GBP/USD pair on that day. 

 

A slide preceded the Brexit-caused slump for about a year.  

 

USD/JPY and AUD/USD Flash Crash of 2019


You may believe that Apple is mainly influential in the technology market. Think again. Its reaches have some effects on the foreign exchange market, as well.  

 

Apple’s statement in January 2019 that emphasised the Chinese economy’s struggle had several investors selling their most volatile currencies. 

  

When investors lose confidence in the Chinese economy, their trust in the AUD and JPY also fluctuates. After all, Australia is its most important trading partner.  

 

Therefore, a simple statement from Apple in 2019 has caused one of the most significant foreign exchange crashes of recent years.  

 

undefined


U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen – Jan 2019

 

Swiss Francs Crash 

 

In the same year, in February, the Swiss franc also suffered a crash. However, some considered this an inconsequential event.  

 

The Swiss Franc experienced a significant drop during the Asian trading session on the 10th of February. It dropped against the US dollar and other major peers.  

 

When the Japanese markets closed for National Foundation Day, the Swiss francs suffered from a lack of liquidity.  

 

Another critical Swiss franc crash happened a few years prior to this, in January 2015. The flash rally, as some call it, occurred after the Swiss National Bank announced that its currency would no longer be pegged at 1.20 against the Euro. Because of this, the franc went up by 20% against not only the Euro but also some major currencies.  

 

2020 Black Swan Event

 

The Black Swan event certainly caused a stir in the financial markets. Moreover, it points to the fall of the most popular of cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin. 

 

So, when the cryptocurrency fell to almost 4970 USD per coin, it caused sheer panic among investors. That was an 80% loss in value. For comparison, its 2017 value was at 19716 USD. 

 

Bitcoin was not alone in creating fear among investors, as Ethereum also dipped from 285 USD to 110 USD. COVID-19 was believed to be the cause of the plunge.  

 

Because the cryptocurrency crisis of 2022 was considered a Black Swan event, it affected other financial markets, including foreign exchange.  

 

The fear generated by black swans is especially fearsome due to their ability to wipe out entire accounts. Reliance on standard forecasting tools can fail to predict potential damages, and that is what makes black swan events so rare and devastating. 

 

Coronavirus Pandemic

 

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to make its effects known in various industries worldwide. During that crisis economic growth expectations were downgraded in fear that major economic sectors had to be shut down due to the increasing coronavirus cases. That uncertainty reduced the demand for local currencies and investment funds. In addition, it impacted exchange rates and the fluctuating value of the US dollar as a world reserve currency.  

 

As a result, economic and political measures created significant changes worldwide and left a mark in Forex history. 

 

Conclusion

 

While there may be more FOREX-related events in the past and the upcoming future that will affect the market, the above are the ones that still have tangible impacts in the past few years. It is crucial for forex traders to stay ahead of an ever-changing market, and one of the ways to achieve it is to understand its history. 

 

To access the world’s markets easier and at a lower cost get a live account with Fusion Markets. 



10/01/2023
Market Analysis
post image main
USD/BRL: An Overview

The forex symbol USD/BRL indicates the exchange rate value between the USD (US dollar) and the BRL (Brazilian Real)

 




Currency background


USD (US dollar)

 

The USD dollar is the United States of America’s official currency. Each dollar is made up of 100 cents. It is represented by US$ when differentiating it from other countries’ dollar currencies. However, they are more often just marked as $.

 

This currency has become the benchmark for other currencies because it is the most popularly used one. Even territories beyond the US have commonly used it as an unofficial currency.

 

Because it is often at the core of foreign-exchange trades, it has its own index – the USDX. It is regarded as the world’s most stable currency.

 

Brazilian Real (BRL)

 

The Brazilian Real (BRL) is Brazil’s official currency. Each Brazilian real is made up of 100 centavos. It is represented by the R$ symbol.

 

It was first used as the country’s official currency in July 1994. It replaced the cruzeiro real. The exchange ratio between the former and the current currencies are not 1:1, either. 1 real is equals to 2,750 cruzeiro real.

 

From 1994 to 1999, BRL was pegged to the USD as an attempt to maintain stability. As the largest Latin American economy, it is worth looking into. It is also the 9th largest in the world.

 

If you’re considering taking the USD/BRL pair, here are the things to consider:

 

Economic Conditions

 

Currency values depend on the economic conditions and public reception of their country’s stability.

 

Since the mid-twentieth century, the USD dollar has established itself as a powerhouse in the global economy. However, because it is a fiat currency, it is also affected by the United States’ economic outlook and activity.

 

Its strength may be good for the country itself. It can also be good for those who may be relying on its general strength to earn in foreign exchanges.

 

However, a powerful USD can be detrimental to countries relying on exports from the United States.

 

While the USD is obviously strong throughout, much can be said about Brazil’s economy as well. It is believed to be one of the strongest emerging economies due to its rich natural resources.

 

Its diversity in economy has spurred foreign investment to pour in. With an estimated $200 billion of direct investments, Brazil’s currency is doing great.

 

It wasn’t always the case. The currency faced several currency crises such as the Mexican currency one from 1994 to 1995, and the one with Asia and Russia in 1997 and 1999. Investors then didn’t want to have anything to do with the Brazilian real.

 

Supply and Demand

 

When the US exports more products, it triggers more demand for its currency because customers must change their money to dollars to be able to pay for the goods.

 

The US government and top American corporations may also issue bonds that can be purchased only with the US Dollar. Foreign investors must buy dollars to buy those financial instruments.

 

Because of the overall reliability and strength of the US dollar, a lot of investors will still buy the currency as a reserve.

 

Perception

 

Currencies depend on perception or market sentiment. For example, if people have been watching the news, finding out about a weakened US economy or increased unemployment, the tendency is to buy back their local currency. This will lower the value of the dollar.

 

The same goes with the BRL, but even worse since it is a less popular currency. While its economy is doing well and has it placed up there among emerging markets, political corruption could be its downfall.

 

Geopolitical Conditions and Global Risks

 

One of the factors that affect perception is geopolitical conditions. How are the politics in the country?

 

USD is a dominant global reserve. It may experience some lows, but it is always generally high in value. Recent events have this fiat currency on the rise, too. On the other hand, Brazil also started strong this year and has been pulling from Russian assets.

 

What can provide some volatility in the USD/BRL pair is Lula’s recent election as the President of Brazil.

 

How to trade USD/BRL

 

Now that you know the strength of the individual currencies, how do you trade the USD/BRL pair?

 

The value you get will depend on the exchange rate between the two.

 

While USD is a stable currency, Brazilian real is the currency of an emerging market. It means that Brazil’s GDP has been steadily growing from 2000. A similar trend is expected to continue.

 

You will earn a profit because an emerging market’s GDP tends to grow rapidly. However, you must be vigilant because it is also at risk of being negatively impacted by political instability and currency fluctuations. Weigh risks against rewards.

 

Pick the right time frame

 

Trade when the USD/BRL is at its busiest, and potentially at its most volatile. The 8:00 to 12:00 Eastern Time frame is also the time when USD details are more readily available.

 

It is when significant chunks of data have been released that a currency pair’s volatility increases. Be watchful at this time because you will have increased opportunities for profitable trades.

 

Conclusion

 

USD/BRL is useful if you want to diversify your foreign exchange portfolio. Your portfolio may see increased gains/losses when one of the fiat currencies in your portfolio is an emerging one.

 

Why?

 

Emerging currencies are more likely to display greater volatility. They have also been steadily rising since 2000. Though the previous formation is not a guarantee of future performance, the current strength of currencies like the Brazilian Real is reassuring.

 

Of course, you will be dealing with two currencies that can give you a lot of value. The USD is always strong. Meanwhile, BRL performs well because of the resources and commodities that Brazil can export. Exports can strengthen both currencies because they prompt investors to buy them.


17/11/2022
Market Analysis
post image main
USD/CNH (USD/CNY): An Overview

The foreign exchange pair USD/CNH (or otherwise known as USD/CNY) is the trading ticker symbol for the powerful but volatile pair of the United States dollar and Chinese Renminbi. Chinese Renminbi is the official currency of the People’s Republic of China, but each individual unit of currency is called Yuan. These two are considered as “exotic” or volatile pairs, mainly because a major currency, USD, is paired with that of an emerging nation, CNH.

 

While considered volatile and generally treated with higher liquidity, the USD/CNH pair is the combination of the world’s two largest economies. The unique relationship between the two countries of the two currencies makes the combination both potent and fascinating.


CURRENCY BACKGROUND


United States Dollar


The United States Dollar is the official currency of the United States of America and several other countries. It is popularly known as the “greenback” due to the bills’ predominantly green color.

 

The Coinage Act of 1972 paved the way for the introduction of the US dollar. The fiscal policy of the United States is under the control and supervision of the Federal Reserve System, which serves as the nation’s central bank as well.


Chinese Yuan


The Renminbi is the official currency of the People’s Republic of China. The Yuan is the basic unit of the Renminbi, but it is also used to refer to the currency in general, especially in an international context.

 

In 1948, or one year before the establishment of the People’s Republic of China, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) introduced the Renminbi. As the new government of China expanded its hold on its territories, it began to steadily issue the Renminbi so as to have a unified currency in the land. Since then, the Renminbi, or Yuan, has been in circulation and has been the official currency of China.


IMPLICATIONS OF USD/CNH CURRENCY PEGGING


The US and China have always had a love-hate relationship that greatly affects not only their trade relations but that of the world as well. The past decades saw a series of pegging and de-pegging between the two currencies. Here are a few key periods that saw the biggest impact and highlighted the importance of currency pegging.


1995-2005


The US Dollar is freely convertible into all currencies of developed economies. On the other hand, the Chinese government is managing the Chinese Yuan’s value. From 1995, Chinese Yuan was at a “hard currency peg” at 8.38 against the US Dollar. For a decade this seems to be the case, and for this reason, it received wide criticism, mainly from the US government. The expectation that there should be a movement in the currency exchange of Yuan (given that China’s economy saw big growth) was not seen. This move by China is seen to protect its interest as, by artificially keeping the value of the Yuan down, Chinese importers were given a competitive advantage: a lower Yuan exchange rate reflects a stronger Chinese currency because you would need fewer Yuan to purchase one US Dollar.


2005


July of 2005 saw a revaluation of the Yuan by the People’s Bank of China by 2.1 percent. PBOC likewise announced a shift to a “soft peg,” which will allow the Yuan to trade more freely within a certain managed exchange rate range. While some criticized the change for being too “insignificant,” many economists praised the move and saw it as the first step towards a more flexible currency exchange system.


2010 - present


Since 2010, China continued its efforts of reforming its exchange rate system by giving the buying and selling forces in the market a freer reign in determining the exchange rate.


IMPORTANT THINGS TO CONSIDER WHEN TRADING USD/CNH IN FOREX


Federal Reserve and People’s Bank of China


Federal Reserve


The Federal Reserve, or most commonly known as The Fed, is the United States’ central bank. It is responsible for the monetary policies of the nation and sets the interest rates of the dollar investments eight (8) times in any given year. The Fed provides direction to strengthen the US Dollar and in maintaining its fluidity and stability.


People’s Bank of China (PBOC)


PBOC is China’s central bank. It has the duty of implementing monetary policies – even unconventional ones – to ensure that CNY remains competitive and afloat. PBOC likewise sets a daily midpoint rate, which serves as a basis in trading Renminbi or Yuan within 2% in either direction.


Trade Wars


Being major players in the international trading arena, trade wars in the form of imposition of additional tariffs and sanctions greatly affects the values of the currencies. In the 2018-2019 US-China Trade standoff, when Trump imposed a series of sanctions against China’s products and exports, China retaliated by lowering the exchange rate value of CNY below its USD peg.


CNY Depegging and artificial manipulation

USD/CNH Weekly - Nov 2017-2018



CONCLUSION


Is the USD/CNH worth the risk for your investment?

 

As a volatile combination, is it worth the risk to invest in USD/CNH?

 

While it seems counterintuitive, the pair remains to be one of the most popular, given that the combination represents two of the most powerful economies in the world.

 

The US Dollar is the world’s primary reserve currency, and remains to be the most widely used currency when it comes to international transactions. The Chinese Yuan represents the continuous and rapidly rising economy of China, the world’s largest exporter. Their advantages when taken individually could be the pair’s strength when taken cumulatively.

 


10/11/2022
Market Analysis
post image main
NZD/CAD: An Overview

The Forex symbol NZD/CAD indicates the exchange rate value between the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the Canadian dollar (CAD).

 



Currency background

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD)

 

The New Zealand dollar has been New Zealand's official currency since 1967. It is also used by the Cook Islands, Niue, the Pitcairn Islands, and Tokelau.

 

Before NZD emerged as the country's official currency, New Zealand used the New Zealand pound. It should be noted that it differs from NZD and the sterling pound. The government researched using a decimal currency, eventually leading to the use of NZD.

 

When NZD was introduced, 27 million worth of banknotes and 165 million in coins were produced. The currency is also known as the kiwi, after the bird native to New Zealand.

 

The Canadian Dollar (CAD)

 

The Canadian dollar (CAD) has been Canada's official currency since 1858. It uses the typical dollar sign ($). You will sometimes see it as CAD, Can$, or even CA$. These variations are meant to distinguish it from other currencies that use the dollar name. Like other dollar denominations, such as NZD, it is a decimal currency.

 

CAD is pretty popular, holding the fifth most chosen reserve currency. Of course, USD dollar is at the top, followed by the EUR, GBP, and JPY. CAD is also the sixth most traded currency because the country has a lot to offer in terms of raw materials and natural resources.

 

Factors you need to consider in trading NZD/CAD

 

Most currency pairs depend on similar factors, such as economic trends and geopolitical factors. Your wins and losses will depend on the countries your currencies are from.

 

Here are some factors that drive the NZD/CAD dynamics:

 

Economic and geopolitical conditions are the most significant factors that affect NZD/CAD as a Forex pair.

 

Economic conditions

 

When considering the NZD/CAD Forex pairing, you may want to take special note of Canada's strong economy. It is a mixed one, with over 70% of it relying on the service industry.

 

It is worth noting that in 2020, the country was considered to have the world's ninth-largest economy, with almost USD 1.75 trillion in GDP. It even places third worldwide in terms of oil deposits. There are many other raw materials the country can also export.

 

Meanwhile, NZD has recently (at the time of writing) experienced a surge, with its economy rising faster than investors expected. The second quarter of 2022 has seen it grow by 1.7%. The rally did not last long, and more recent stats show it is now fizzling. However, considering the 0.2% drop during the first quarter, NZD is still headed in the right direction.

 

Because New Zealand is very close to Australia, observe how their economies are also closely interrelated. A lot of New Zealand’s exports may be going to its neighbour.

 

As a Forex pairing, NZD/CAD is reliable enough. It may not involve the ever-popular USD, but CAD is a reliable currency, and NZD is also proving its worth. One must, of course, at least show some predictable up-and-down motion for you to profit from this pair.

 

Because both Canada and New Zealand are known for their oil and other commodities, you may also want to do a lot of commodity price watching before you make a trade.

 

Geopolitical conditions and global risks

 

Canada does very well politically. It is known to have one of the least corrupt politics in the whole world. That fact makes it a steady country with a reliable economy.

 

Meanwhile, New Zealand is generally known as a peaceful country. Still, it is difficult to deny that current global tensions have affected the currency. NZD's value lowers as the tensions and the prices soar, an effect felt long after the COVID-19 lockdowns.

 

Despite NZD issues, local exporters benefit from lower NZD value.

 

Perception

 

How each of these economies is perceived also plays a role in how each performs. Traders want to invest in something they can trust and predict. For example, Canada is generally perceived to have clean and non-corrupt political practices. It also continues to deliver high-quality raw materials and natural resources. Both these factors play a big role in the currency's perception.

 

How to trade NZD/CAD

 

When trying to profit from this particular Forex pair, do so during the optimum times: from 13:00 and 17:00 (GMT). Why? It is at these hours that the NZD/CAD is at its busiest. Be careful. Trading when it is at its volatile is risky, while trading when it is not volatile will have you spending too much.


A number of other factors will also influence the volatility of this pair, for example, the CAD exchange rate can be affected by the US’s economic conditions. Meanwhile, the NZD is affected by Asian and Australian markets.

 

Conclusion

 

Is the NZD/CAD pair worth going into?

 

The NZD and CAD pairing does not involve the USD, the most sought-after currency. So, it does have that against it.

 

However, CAD is reliable enough. It is one of the world's most-held reserve currencies, coming from a stable country with perceptibly good politics and many resources. So, you can trade this pair with the knowledge that you can, at least, rely on the CAD.

 

The combination with NZD is near perfect because the New Zealand currency may be experiencing some issues, but it is still generally more reliable than many other currencies. It is the 18th most used currency, from a largely peaceful country. The ups and downs it is currently experiencing may ultimately benefit traders. After all, you want to profit from the trade and not work on a pegged, static currency.

 

So, it is worth checking NZD/CAD if you want to diversify your foreign exchange portfolio. You may still have another pairing with USD involved, but the NZD/CAD pair is worth checking out.


01/11/2022
Newsletter
Top Articles
Popular Tags
Ready to Start Trading?
Get started live or get a free demo